65-Signal Framework · Credit-Cycle Record Since 1996

Know when to be in.
Know when to get out.

65signals is an investment decision machine: 65 live macro and fundamental signals distilled into one regime call, one quality score, and a precise posture for any ticker — so you act on the cycle, not on emotion.

Current Market: Phase 1 — Expansion

Credit & Cycle

When to be in — and when to get out

The master-rule layer. IG credit spreads and the long-term cycle tell you the regime before price does.

9 pass6 watch2 stress17 live

Momentum & Timing

When to act

Trend, volatility and phase triggers time the entry and exit inside the regime credit has already set.

16 pass2 watch0 stress18 live

Fundamental Quality

What to own

BL Score fundamentals — profitability, balance sheet, capital efficiency, sentiment — rank what survives.

4 pass1 watch0 stress5 live
2,566
Macro calls scored vs outcomes
30
Macro voices tracked
1996
Credit-cycle record since (IG OAS)
2
Liquidation regimes called — 2008–09 · Mar 2020

Track record from the live accuracy backtest (30/60/90/180-day horizons). Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Framework

Five Phases of the Economic Cycle

Every cycle since 1929 has followed this sequence. The transition signals are mechanical and measurable.

Phase 0: Recovery and Accumulation

The economy has bottomed. Central banks have flooded the system with liquidity. Credit is healing, yields are compressing, and smart money is accumulating risk assets at discounted valuations. Most investors are still fearful. That fear is the opportunity.

Key Signals

IG spreads compressing below 200 bps. Yield curve steepening after inversion. Initial claims peaking and declining. Fed balance sheet expanding.

Sector Leaders

Financials (credit recovery). Consumer Discretionary. Small Caps (risk-on rotation). Real Estate (rate-sensitive).

Macro Consensus

What the panel of tracked macro voices is saying right now.

stocks35 calls
60% bull71% bear
oil32 calls
66% bull59% bear
dollar23 calls
43% bull74% bear

What Makes This Different

No other platform combines a three-decade credit-cycle record (IG OAS since 1996) with real-time fundamental scoring and a transparent, rules-based posture system.

65-Signal Analysis

Every ticker scored across 5 layers: 17 Cycle & Credit signals, 28 Indicators, 7 Momentum signals, 9 Phase Triggers (consolidated from 30 economic models), and 5 BL Score fundamentals.

Live Macro Phase

Real-time Phase 0–4 determination based on IG credit spreads, yield curve, unemployment, VIX, and 53 additional macro signals.

BL Score (0–100)

Proprietary composite score across Profitability, Balance Sheet, Capital Efficiency, and Market Sentiment — each weighted 25%.

No False Alarms

Since the IG OAS series begins (Dec 1996), every 150 bps crossing marked genuine stress, and the 300 bps Liquidation gate has fired in exactly two regimes — 2008–09 and March 2020.

Multi-Ticker Compare

Analyze up to 6 tickers side-by-side with BL Score rankings and posture recommendations in a single view.

Watchlist & Alerts

Save your favorite tickers and track their BL Scores and posture changes over time.

Ready to Analyze Your Portfolio?

Enter any ticker above, or explore the macro dashboard to see where we are in the current cycle.