The Five Layers

65 signals across 5 layers determine the macro phase.Phase 2 NOT confirmed while IG < 150 bps

Phase 1 — Expansion / Melt-UpUpdated Jun 15, 2026

Composite Score

L1×0.15 + L2×0.25 + L3×0.15 + L4×0.25 + L5×0.20

93.0/ 100

49/60 macro signals passing (82%) across L1–L4. The 5 L5 BL Score signals are ticker-level and not scored at the macro level.

2 signals Unavailable — quarantined by the integrity gate and excluded from the composite. Scored 49/60 pass (82%) on validated macro signals (L1–L4) only.

Layer Hierarchy

Cycles & Credit15%

Indicators25%

Momentum & Timing15%

Triggers25%

BL Score20%

The Signal Breakdown

The BuildersLens framework tracks 65 signals organized into five layers, and each signal serves a specific role in identifying regime shifts and phase transitions. The full signal directory is the live dashboard above — expand any layer to see every registry signal with its current value, status, and full breakdown link.

The 5-Layer Architecture

L1 — Cycles & Credit

17sig·15%wt

Multi-year and multi-decade cycles that define the macro regime backdrop. These long-duration rhythms — from 3-year inventory cycles to 50-year Kondratieff waves — set the stage for everything else.

L2 — Indicators

28sig·25%wt

Intermediate-term indicators tracking credit conditions, yield dynamics, volatility regimes, valuations, and sentiment. These signals provide 6–12 month advance warning of regime shifts.

L3 — Momentum & Timing

7sig·15%wt

Price action and trend signals that confirm or deny the macro thesis. These validate whether the market is behaving consistently with the regime assessment from Layers 1 and 2.

L4 — Triggers

9sig·25%wt

Binary signals that fire at critical moments — marking the shift from one phase to the next. When these trigger, the probability distribution changes fast and positioning must adapt.

L5 — BL Score

5sig·20%wt

Bottom-up financial health and earnings quality metrics. When the macro regime shifts, these filters separate durable businesses from fragile ones — the difference between surviving a drawdown and being destroyed by it.

Layer	Signals	Weight	Role
L1 — Cycles & Credit	17	15%	Multi-year and multi-decade cycles that define the macro regime backdrop. These long-duration rhythms — from 3-year inventory cycles to 50-year Kondratieff waves — set the stage for everything else.
L2 — Indicators	28	25%	Intermediate-term indicators tracking credit conditions, yield dynamics, volatility regimes, valuations, and sentiment. These signals provide 6–12 month advance warning of regime shifts.
L3 — Momentum & Timing	7	15%	Price action and trend signals that confirm or deny the macro thesis. These validate whether the market is behaving consistently with the regime assessment from Layers 1 and 2.
L4 — Triggers	9	25%	Binary signals that fire at critical moments — marking the shift from one phase to the next. When these trigger, the probability distribution changes fast and positioning must adapt.
L5 — BL Score	5	20%	Bottom-up financial health and earnings quality metrics. When the macro regime shifts, these filters separate durable businesses from fragile ones — the difference between surviving a drawdown and being destroyed by it.

Signal Weighting — Not All Signals Are Equal

Persistence — signals that sustain for 3+ months carry more weight than one-off readings
Breadth — multiple signals confirming > single signal screaming
Interaction — credit + liquidity confirming together = highest conviction
Phase sensitivity — some signals only matter in certain phases

What signals cannot do: signals do not predict exact timing or magnitude. They identify the regime environment and probability-weight what comes next. The framework reduces noise, not uncertainty.

Explore the framework: Macro Regime · Asset Behavior · BL Score · Macro-Micro Matrix · Builders Playbook

Educational Disclaimer: This framework is presented for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The BuildersLens framework is a tool for regime identification, not market timing. Past signals and regime patterns do not guarantee future results. All investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.