10-Year Treasury Yield
L2 — Indicators5.10% — Normal yield environment
What it measures: 10-year Treasury yield — flight-to-safety indicator and growth signal
Threshold: > 3.5% = normal | 2.5-3.5% = easing | < 2.5% = flight-to-safety
Current interpretation: 5.10% — Normal yield environment
Full methodology for this signal is forthcoming — the write-up has not yet been published. The live reading above comes directly from the signal engine.
How it works
The 10-year yield is a stack: a real rate, expected inflation, and a term premium. Watch which layer moves — that tells you what the market repriced.
The history
228 observations, 2026-03-05 → 2026-10-19 (live window — deeper history being assembled). Background shading = the macro phase in effect; dashed lines = this signal's threshold ladder; red markers = crossings of the top band. 1 threshold line omitted — outside the charted range (shown when history covers it).
Educational content. Not investment advice; past patterns do not guarantee future results. Signals identify regime environments, not exact timing or magnitude.