Signals directory
Indicators

Loan Market vs High Yield (60d)

L2 — Indicators
Current reading
0.16pass> -1pp = in line | -1 to -3pp = loans lagging | < -3pp = loan-market stress

+0.16pp BKLN vs HYG over 2026-05-22 → 2026-07-22 (adjusted closes) — Loans tracking HY — no divergence

-1

What it measures: BKLN minus HYG trailing 60-day total return (adjusted closes) — leveraged loans cracking while HY bonds hold is the floating-rate/private-adjacent stress divergence

Threshold: > -1pp = in line | -1 to -3pp = loans lagging | < -3pp = loan-market stress

Current interpretation: +0.16pp BKLN vs HYG over 2026-05-22 → 2026-07-22 (adjusted closes) — Loans tracking HY — no divergence

Full methodology for this signal is forthcoming — the write-up has not yet been published. The live reading above comes directly from the signal engine.

How it works

This signal's mechanism doesn't reduce to a standard diagram — read the methodology below for how it's constructed.

The history

Historical series being assembled — this signal has no archived daily series yet. The chart renders automatically once 60 observations exist; the live reading above is current either way.

Educational content. Not investment advice; past patterns do not guarantee future results. Signals identify regime environments, not exact timing or magnitude.